More than 85 million ballots have been cast ahead of Tuesday's election, about 62% of 2016's total. Over 9 million of those are from Texas, which has already exceeded its total 2016 vote count. Joe Biden's chances of winning remain at 89%, according to FiveThirtyEight's forecasting model. Donald Trump trails Biden by about 7.8 points on average in national polls, RealClearPolitics said.