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Discuss and Research Stocks 美股美国股票投资交易研究

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Ten-year yields are testing a 50% Fibonacci retracement since August near 1.4589%. That level along with the 200-dma at 1.4501% need a few days of consideration before the yield takes a run towards 1.3736%. Fed buybacks and corporate bond issuance will support 10-years while they consolidate around key technical levels. The absence of economic data will allow the market to focus on flows. Multiple companies plan to sell new U.S. investment grade corporate debt today. Market reaction to the announcement of Sherwin-Williams longer-dated deal and Cargill’s benchmark 10-year and 30-year tap suggests they had already been hedged. Moreover, the Fed will buy $2.025 billion in 22.5-year to 30-year Treasuries. Support for the back-end of the curve should keep mortgage origination, which can act like supply on the bond market, at bay. Plus, what origination there is, it creates less duration in the market.