The next leg of the UST rally is poised to begin, as the Fed will be forced to pick up the stimulus slack from a divided Congress and White House.
Optimism that additional fiscal stimulus will be enacted in the next couple of weeks is fading. Not only are Congressional Democrats and Republicans far apart on content, but there is also substantive divide between GOP Senators and the White House. Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said Congress probably won’t pass the next stimulus bill within two weeks. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said that the $1t proposed is “not close” to being enough for the next coronavirus stimulus package, and that any delay on stimulus is due to “disarray” among Republicans. The timeline is slipping, and a fiscal cliff looms.
It will therefore be up to the Fed to provide the next bout of stimulus for an economy that is struggling with the pandemic. Expect the Fed to tack dovish, as several FOMC members have done in the past week or so. This will act as a catalyst for the next leg of the bond market rally, as the Fed does what the politicians seem unable to.
Optimism that additional fiscal stimulus will be enacted in the next couple of weeks is fading. Not only are Congressional Democrats and Republicans far apart on content, but there is also substantive divide between GOP Senators and the White House. Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said Congress probably won’t pass the next stimulus bill within two weeks. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said that the $1t proposed is “not close” to being enough for the next coronavirus stimulus package, and that any delay on stimulus is due to “disarray” among Republicans. The timeline is slipping, and a fiscal cliff looms.
It will therefore be up to the Fed to provide the next bout of stimulus for an economy that is struggling with the pandemic. Expect the Fed to tack dovish, as several FOMC members have done in the past week or so. This will act as a catalyst for the next leg of the bond market rally, as the Fed does what the politicians seem unable to.